"I'm convinced that our input into the system led to a substantial portion of the increase in house prices in the US. We facilitated a trillion dollars in mortgages," says one trader. "Just us." Every firm on Wall Street was making fantastic sums of money from this machine, but for the machine to keep on running, the Wall Street firms needed someone to take the risk. When Gene Park informed them that AIG-FP would no longer do so - Hello, my name is Gene Park and I'm closing down your business - he became the most hated man on Wall Street. The big Wall Street firms solved the problem by taking the risk themselves. The hundreds of billions of dollars of sub-prime losses suffered by Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, and the others were hundreds of billions of dollars of losses that might otherwise have been suffered by AIG-FP.
What no-one realised is that Joe Cassano, in exchange for the privilege of selling credit default swaps to Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch and all the rest, had agreed to a change in the traditional terms of trading between AIG and Wall Street. In the beginning AIG had required its counter-parties simply to accept its AAA credit: it refused to post collateral. But in the case of the sub-prime mortgage credit default swaps, Cassano had agreed to several triggers, including AIG losing its AAA rating, that would require the firm to post collateral. The subsequent race by the big Wall Street banks to obtain billions in collateral from AIG was an upmarket version of a run on a bank. AIG couldn't afford to pay off Goldman Sachs in MArch 2008. But that was okay. The US Treasury, led by the former head of Goldman Sachs, Hank Paulson, agreed to make good on AIG's gambling debts. One hundred cents on the dollar.
What no-one realised is that Joe Cassano, in exchange for the privilege of selling credit default swaps to Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch and all the rest, had agreed to a change in the traditional terms of trading between AIG and Wall Street. In the beginning AIG had required its counter-parties simply to accept its AAA credit: it refused to post collateral. But in the case of the sub-prime mortgage credit default swaps, Cassano had agreed to several triggers, including AIG losing its AAA rating, that would require the firm to post collateral. The subsequent race by the big Wall Street banks to obtain billions in collateral from AIG was an upmarket version of a run on a bank. AIG couldn't afford to pay off Goldman Sachs in MArch 2008. But that was okay. The US Treasury, led by the former head of Goldman Sachs, Hank Paulson, agreed to make good on AIG's gambling debts. One hundred cents on the dollar.