Wednesday 7 January 2015

Deflation

From a rather different perspective Richard Batley of Lombard Street Research argues that global deflationary pressure has also increased as a result of the relative decline in US economic power. For much of the postwar period the US acted as a clearing house for global demand and supply by maintaining open markets that absorbed the rest of the world’s goods. But the supply clearing capacity of the US ran out after 2008 because it had exhausted its debt capacity. Instead of excess supply being cleared through ever higher US household debt, it is now being cleared through lower prices.